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2025-11-17 09:00

Looking Back at the 2011 NBA Draft: Biggest Steals and Busts Revealed

Looking back at the 2011 NBA Draft from my perspective as a basketball analyst who's followed player development for over a decade, I can't help but marvel at how dramatically this class defied expectations. I remember watching the draft that night thinking we were witnessing something special, but even I couldn't have predicted just how many franchise-altering players would emerge from what initially seemed like a relatively weak class. The real story of this draft isn't just about the obvious stars - it's about the incredible steals that transformed teams and the painful busts that set franchises back years.

When I analyze draft classes, I always look beyond the lottery picks, and 2011 taught me why that's so crucial. Kawhi Leonard going 15th to the Pacers before being traded to San Antonio remains the ultimate steal in my book. I've studied countless drafts, but seeing a two-time Finals MVP and defensive powerhouse slip that far still baffles me. What's equally fascinating is how Isaiah Thomas, the very last pick at number 60, became an All-Star and nearly averaged 29 points per game in 2016-17. That's the kind of value that makes scouts reconsider everything they thought they knew about evaluating talent. Meanwhile, players like Jimmy Butler at 30th overall have redefined what it means to develop late - from a defensive specialist to a legitimate superstar who's led multiple teams deep into the playoffs.

The busts from this class serve as painful reminders that draft position guarantees nothing. I've always been particularly disappointed by Jimmer Fredette's career trajectory. After watching him dominate at BYU where he averaged 28.9 points and won National Player of the Year, I genuinely believed his shooting would translate to the NBA. Instead, he bounced between six teams in five seasons, never finding his rhythm against NBA-level defenders. Then there's Derrick Williams, the second overall pick who showed flashes of brilliance but never developed the consistency needed to justify his draft position. What's interesting is how these busts often reveal more about team fit than pure talent - something I've come to appreciate more with each passing season.

What strikes me most about analyzing this draft class is how player development systems have evolved since 2011. Teams that invested in proper development programs turned their late picks into stars, while organizations that simply threw rookies into the deep end often saw their investments flounder. The mentality players bring matters tremendously too. There's something to be said about the approach Belga mentioned in that interview - "I was really eyeing for it... I can. In-ano ko naman sa oras eh. Kung babanga talaga sa oras na hindi ako aabot sa laro, hindi ko 'yun iko-compromise." That readiness combined with understanding one's limitations and being strategic about timing reflects the kind of professional attitude that separates successful NBA careers from disappointing ones. It's not just about raw talent but about understanding the game, your role, and when you can genuinely contribute without compromising team success.

The international prospects from this class particularly fascinate me. Jonas Valančiūnas at fifth overall has quietly built a solid decade-long career, while Donatas Motiejūnas at 20th showed flashes before his NBA career fizzled. What I've learned from tracking international players is that their adjustment period varies wildly, and teams that exercise patience often reap significant rewards. Nikola Mirotic, picked 23rd but staying overseas until 2014, developed into a versatile forward who became crucial for both Chicago and Milwaukee. This pattern of delayed gratification with international prospects has fundamentally changed how teams approach the draft today.

As I reflect on the 2011 draft class now, with the benefit of hindsight, what stands out isn't just the individual successes and failures but how they collectively shaped modern roster construction. The massive value found in the late first and second rounds demonstrated that deep drafts can yield franchise cornerstones outside the lottery. The busts reinforced the danger of falling in love with college production without considering how skills translate to the professional level. Most importantly, this class taught me that player development might be even more crucial than draft position itself. Teams like San Antonio and Chicago demonstrated that with the right system, even raw talents could become superstars, while other organizations wasted top picks on players they couldn't properly develop. The 2011 draft class, in many ways, represents a turning point in how the league approaches talent evaluation and development - lessons that continue to influence team strategies to this day.

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